Stock Analysis

Cathay Pacific Airways (HKG:293) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue

SEHK:293
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To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Speaking of which, we noticed some great changes in Cathay Pacific Airways' (HKG:293) returns on capital, so let's have a look.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Cathay Pacific Airways, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.096 = HK$12b ÷ (HK$176b - HK$48b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

So, Cathay Pacific Airways has an ROCE of 9.6%. In absolute terms, that's a low return but it's around the Airlines industry average of 8.3%.

Check out our latest analysis for Cathay Pacific Airways

roce
SEHK:293 Return on Capital Employed October 3rd 2024

In the above chart we have measured Cathay Pacific Airways' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Cathay Pacific Airways for free.

The Trend Of ROCE

Cathay Pacific Airways is showing promise given that its ROCE is trending up and to the right. More specifically, while the company has kept capital employed relatively flat over the last five years, the ROCE has climbed 172% in that same time. So it's likely that the business is now reaping the full benefits of its past investments, since the capital employed hasn't changed considerably. It's worth looking deeper into this though because while it's great that the business is more efficient, it might also mean that going forward the areas to invest internally for the organic growth are lacking.

The Bottom Line

To sum it up, Cathay Pacific Airways is collecting higher returns from the same amount of capital, and that's impressive. Since the stock has only returned 6.6% to shareholders over the last five years, the promising fundamentals may not be recognized yet by investors. Given that, we'd look further into this stock in case it has more traits that could make it multiply in the long term.

One final note, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Cathay Pacific Airways (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) .

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.