Stock Analysis

Investors in COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (HKG:1919) have seen enviable returns of 873% over the past five years

SEHK:1919
Source: Shutterstock

For many, the main point of investing in the stock market is to achieve spectacular returns. While the best companies are hard to find, but they can generate massive returns over long periods. For example, the COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd. (HKG:1919) share price is up a whopping 396% in the last half decade, a handsome return for long term holders. This just goes to show the value creation that some businesses can achieve. In the last week the share price is up 1.0%.

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

View our latest analysis for COSCO SHIPPING Holdings

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During five years of share price growth, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 71% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 38% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore, it seems the market has become relatively pessimistic about the company. This cautious sentiment is reflected in its (fairly low) P/E ratio of 4.37.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:1919 Earnings Per Share Growth January 18th 2025

We know that COSCO SHIPPING Holdings has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think COSCO SHIPPING Holdings will grow revenue in the future.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings' TSR for the last 5 years was 873%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that COSCO SHIPPING Holdings shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 59% over one year. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 58% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) .

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.