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Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine China Merchants Port Holdings Company Limited (HKG:144)?
While China Merchants Port Holdings Company Limited (HKG:144) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the SEHK over the last few months, increasing to HK$13.74 at one point, and dropping to the lows of HK$9.96. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether China Merchants Port Holdings' current trading price of HK$9.96 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at China Merchants Port Holdings’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
View our latest analysis for China Merchants Port Holdings
What's The Opportunity In China Merchants Port Holdings?
The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that China Merchants Port Holdings’s ratio of 4.75x is trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 5.22x, which means if you buy China Merchants Port Holdings today, you’d be paying a decent price for it. And if you believe China Merchants Port Holdings should be trading in this range, then there isn’t much room for the share price to grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. In addition to this, it seems like China Merchants Port Holdings’s share price is quite stable, which could mean there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it’s trading around the price multiples of other industry peers. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.
What does the future of China Merchants Port Holdings look like?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of China Merchants Port Holdings, it is expected to deliver a relatively unexciting earnings growth of 3.9%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. Growth doesn’t appear to be a main reason for a buy decision for the company, at least in the near term.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in 144’s growth outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at 144? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on 144, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive growth outlook may mean it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. You'd be interested to know, that we found 2 warning signs for China Merchants Port Holdings and you'll want to know about these.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:144
China Merchants Port Holdings
An investment holding company, operates as a port operator in Mainland China, Brazil, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and internationally.
Solid track record with adequate balance sheet.