Stock Analysis

Is Apex Ace Holding (HKG:6036) A Risky Investment?

SEHK:6036
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Apex Ace Holding Limited (HKG:6036) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Apex Ace Holding

What Is Apex Ace Holding's Debt?

As you can see below, Apex Ace Holding had HK$498.9m of debt at December 2022, down from HK$538.5m a year prior. On the flip side, it has HK$99.6m in cash leading to net debt of about HK$399.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:6036 Debt to Equity History June 6th 2023

How Strong Is Apex Ace Holding's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Apex Ace Holding had liabilities of HK$645.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$25.9m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$99.6m and HK$510.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling HK$61.1m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given Apex Ace Holding has a market capitalization of HK$465.5m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Apex Ace Holding's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year Apex Ace Holding's revenue was pretty flat, and it made a negative EBIT. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Apex Ace Holding had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at HK$15m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of HK$32m into a profit. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Apex Ace Holding (of which 2 are a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Apex Ace Holding is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.