Stock Analysis

Does China Silver Technology Holdings (HKG:515) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SEHK:515
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that China Silver Technology Holdings Limited (HKG:515) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for China Silver Technology Holdings

What Is China Silver Technology Holdings's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that China Silver Technology Holdings had debt of HK$168.9m at the end of June 2020, a reduction from HK$177.2m over a year. However, it does have HK$30.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about HK$138.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:515 Debt to Equity History December 9th 2020

How Healthy Is China Silver Technology Holdings's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that China Silver Technology Holdings had liabilities of HK$474.1m due within a year, and liabilities of HK$13.7m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$30.1m and HK$140.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total HK$317.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the HK$168.5m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, China Silver Technology Holdings would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since China Silver Technology Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, China Silver Technology Holdings made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to HK$245m, which is a fall of 13%. We would much prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did China Silver Technology Holdings's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Its EBIT loss was a whopping HK$79m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of HK$92m. And until that time we think this is a risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with China Silver Technology Holdings (at least 1 which is a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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