Stock Analysis

Here's What's Concerning About China Railway Signal & Communication's (HKG:3969) Returns On Capital

SEHK:3969
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Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. In light of that, when we looked at China Railway Signal & Communication (HKG:3969) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for China Railway Signal & Communication, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.075 = CN¥3.7b ÷ (CN¥109b - CN¥59b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).

So, China Railway Signal & Communication has an ROCE of 7.5%. In absolute terms, that's a low return, but it's much better than the Electronic industry average of 6.1%.

See our latest analysis for China Railway Signal & Communication

roce
SEHK:3969 Return on Capital Employed April 28th 2022

In the above chart we have measured China Railway Signal & Communication's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for China Railway Signal & Communication.

What Does the ROCE Trend For China Railway Signal & Communication Tell Us?

In terms of China Railway Signal & Communication's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 7.5% from 15% five years ago. However it looks like China Railway Signal & Communication might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.

Another thing to note, China Railway Signal & Communication has a high ratio of current liabilities to total assets of 55%. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.

Our Take On China Railway Signal & Communication's ROCE

To conclude, we've found that China Railway Signal & Communication is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. And in the last five years, the stock has given away 47% so the market doesn't look too hopeful on these trends strengthening any time soon. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.

On a separate note, we've found 1 warning sign for China Railway Signal & Communication you'll probably want to know about.

While China Railway Signal & Communication isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.