Stock Analysis

Kinergy (HKG:3302) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

SEHK:3302
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Kinergy Corporation Ltd. (HKG:3302) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Our analysis indicates that 3302 is potentially overvalued!

How Much Debt Does Kinergy Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2022 Kinergy had debt of S$32.8m, up from S$15.9m in one year. But it also has S$33.6m in cash to offset that, meaning it has S$816.0k net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:3302 Debt to Equity History November 23rd 2022

How Strong Is Kinergy's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Kinergy had liabilities of S$60.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of S$6.40m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had S$33.6m in cash and S$27.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by S$5.82m.

Since publicly traded Kinergy shares are worth a total of S$89.3m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Kinergy also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

Better yet, Kinergy grew its EBIT by 401% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Kinergy will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Kinergy may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last two years, Kinergy burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Kinergy has S$816.0k in net cash. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 401% over the last year. So we don't have any problem with Kinergy's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Kinergy is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kinergy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.