If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. In light of that, when we looked at TravelSky Technology (HKG:696) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for TravelSky Technology, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.027 = CN¥513m ÷ (CN¥24b - CN¥4.6b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2021).
Thus, TravelSky Technology has an ROCE of 2.7%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the IT industry average of 7.2%.
Check out our latest analysis for TravelSky Technology
Above you can see how the current ROCE for TravelSky Technology compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
The Trend Of ROCE
When we looked at the ROCE trend at TravelSky Technology, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 2.7% from 15% five years ago. However it looks like TravelSky Technology might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
What We Can Learn From TravelSky Technology's ROCE
To conclude, we've found that TravelSky Technology is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 41% in the last five years. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
Like most companies, TravelSky Technology does come with some risks, and we've found 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if TravelSky Technology might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:696
TravelSky Technology
Provides information technology solutions for aviation and travel industries in the People’s Republic of China.
Excellent balance sheet and fair value.