Stock Analysis

Does Palinda Group Holdings (HKG:8179) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SEHK:8179
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Palinda Group Holdings Limited (HKG:8179) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Palinda Group Holdings

How Much Debt Does Palinda Group Holdings Carry?

As you can see below, Palinda Group Holdings had HK$71.3m of debt at December 2021, down from HK$75.2m a year prior. However, it does have HK$4.04m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about HK$67.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:8179 Debt to Equity History May 4th 2022

A Look At Palinda Group Holdings' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Palinda Group Holdings had liabilities of HK$152.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$1.89m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had HK$4.04m in cash and HK$42.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$108.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of HK$114.4m. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Weak interest cover of 0.57 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 20.0 hit our confidence in Palinda Group Holdings like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. One redeeming factor for Palinda Group Holdings is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of HK$2.1m, over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Palinda Group Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Palinda Group Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

On the face of it, Palinda Group Holdings's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its interest cover was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Palinda Group Holdings's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Palinda Group Holdings you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.