Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Bonjour Holdings Limited (HKG:653) With Shares Advancing 101%

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SEHK:653

The Bonjour Holdings Limited (HKG:653) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 101%. But the last month did very little to improve the 77% share price decline over the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Bonjour Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Specialty Retail industry is similar at about 0.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Bonjour Holdings

SEHK:653 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 17th 2025

What Does Bonjour Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Bonjour Holdings has been doing very well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to taper off, which has kept the P/S from rising. Those who are bullish on Bonjour Holdings will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Bonjour Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Bonjour Holdings?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Bonjour Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, we see the company's revenues grew exponentially. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 69% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of explosive growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 31% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it interesting that Bonjour Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Bonjour Holdings' P/S

Bonjour Holdings' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Bonjour Holdings revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Bonjour Holdings (2 are significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Bonjour Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.