Stock Analysis

Does Topsports International Holdings (HKG:6110) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SEHK:6110
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Topsports International Holdings Limited (HKG:6110) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out the opportunities and risks within the HK Specialty Retail industry.

What Is Topsports International Holdings's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at August 2022 Topsports International Holdings had debt of CN¥2.03b, up from CN¥833.8m in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.70b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥331.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:6110 Debt to Equity History December 1st 2022

How Healthy Is Topsports International Holdings' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Topsports International Holdings had liabilities of CN¥5.63b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥2.16b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.70b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.89b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥4.21b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given Topsports International Holdings has a market capitalization of CN¥29.8b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Carrying virtually no net debt, Topsports International Holdings has a very light debt load indeed.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With debt at a measly 0.09 times EBITDA and EBIT covering interest a whopping 22.4 times, it's clear that Topsports International Holdings is not a desperate borrower. So relative to past earnings, the debt load seems trivial. In fact Topsports International Holdings's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 28% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Topsports International Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Topsports International Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

Happily, Topsports International Holdings's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its EBIT growth rate. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Topsports International Holdings can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Topsports International Holdings has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Topsports International Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.