Stock Analysis

Here's Why Paladin (HKG:495) Can Afford Some Debt

SEHK:495
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Paladin Limited (HKG:495) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Paladin

What Is Paladin's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Paladin had HK$154.2m of debt at December 2021, down from HK$177.9m a year prior. However, it does have HK$111.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about HK$43.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:495 Debt to Equity History March 18th 2022

How Healthy Is Paladin's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Paladin had liabilities of HK$153.7m falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$22.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$111.0m as well as receivables valued at HK$6.85m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$57.9m.

This deficit isn't so bad because Paladin is worth HK$168.2m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Paladin will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year Paladin wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 40%, to HK$22m. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

Caveat Emptor

While we can certainly appreciate Paladin's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Its EBIT loss was a whopping HK$65m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through HK$59m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Paladin (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.