Stock Analysis

Should Safety Godown Company, Limited (HKG:237) Be Part Of Your Income Portfolio?

SEHK:237
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Today we'll take a closer look at Safety Godown Company, Limited (HKG:237) from a dividend investor's perspective. Owning a strong business and reinvesting the dividends is widely seen as an attractive way of growing your wealth. On the other hand, investors have been known to buy a stock because of its yield, and then lose money if the company's dividend doesn't live up to expectations.

A slim 1.7% yield is hard to get excited about, but the long payment history is respectable. At the right price, or with strong growth opportunities, Safety Godown Company could have potential. There are a few simple ways to reduce the risks of buying Safety Godown Company for its dividend, and we'll go through these below.

Click the interactive chart for our full dividend analysis

historic-dividend
SEHK:237 Historic Dividend February 5th 2021

Payout ratios

Dividends are usually paid out of company earnings. If a company is paying more than it earns, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. As a result, we should always investigate whether a company can afford its dividend, measured as a percentage of a company's net income after tax. While Safety Godown Company pays a dividend, it reported a loss over the last year. When a company recently reported a loss, we should investigate if its cash flows covered the dividend.

Last year, Safety Godown Company paid a dividend while reporting negative free cash flow. While there may be an explanation, we think this behaviour is generally not sustainable.

While the above analysis focuses on dividends relative to a company's earnings, we do note Safety Godown Company's strong net cash position, which will let it pay larger dividends for a time, should it choose.

Remember, you can always get a snapshot of Safety Godown Company's latest financial position, by checking our visualisation of its financial health.

Dividend Volatility

Before buying a stock for its income, we want to see if the dividends have been stable in the past, and if the company has a track record of maintaining its dividend. Safety Godown Company has been paying dividends for a long time, but for the purpose of this analysis, we only examine the past 10 years of payments. Its dividend payments have declined on at least one occasion over the past 10 years. During the past 10-year period, the first annual payment was HK$0.05 in 2011, compared to HK$0.06 last year. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 2.0% a year over that time. Safety Godown Company's dividend payments have fluctuated, so it hasn't grown 2.0% every year, but the CAGR is a useful rule of thumb for approximating the historical growth.

We're glad to see the dividend has risen, but with a limited rate of growth and fluctuations in the payments, we don't think this is an attractive combination.

Dividend Growth Potential

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Safety Godown Company's earnings per share have shrunk at 49% a year over the past five years. With this kind of significant decline, we always wonder what has changed in the business. Dividends are about stability, and Safety Godown Company's earnings per share, which support the dividend, have been anything but stable.

Conclusion

To summarise, shareholders should always check that Safety Godown Company's dividends are affordable, that its dividend payments are relatively stable, and that it has decent prospects for growing its earnings and dividend. It's a concern to see that the company paid a dividend despite reporting a loss, and the dividend was also not well covered by free cash flow. Second, earnings per share have been in decline, and its dividend has been cut at least once in the past. Using these criteria, Safety Godown Company looks quite suboptimal from a dividend investment perspective.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Safety Godown Company that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock.

Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our curated list of dividend stocks with a yield above 3%.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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