Stock Analysis

Associated International Hotels (HKG:105) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

SEHK:105
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Associated International Hotels Limited (HKG:105) will increase its dividend on the 6th of October to HK$0.21. Although the dividend is now higher, the yield is only 3.5%, which is below the industry average.

Check out our latest analysis for Associated International Hotels

Associated International Hotels Might Find It Hard To Continue The Dividend

While yield is important, another factor to consider about a company's dividend is whether the current payout levels are feasible. Even though Associated International Hotels isn't generating a profit, it is generating healthy free cash flows that easily cover the dividend. We generally think that cash flow is more important than accounting measures of profit, so we are fairly comfortable with the dividend at this level.

Looking forward, earnings per share could 49.3% over the next year if the trend of the last few years can't be broken. This means the company will be unprofitable and managers could face the tough choice between continuing to pay the dividend or taking pressure off the balance sheet.

historic-dividend
SEHK:105 Historic Dividend July 3rd 2022

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2012, the dividend has gone from HK$0.56 to HK$0.40. Doing the maths, this is a decline of about 3.3% per year. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Associated International Hotels' earnings per share has shrunk at 49% a year over the past five years. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future.

Associated International Hotels' Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Associated International Hotels will make a great income stock. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. To that end, Associated International Hotels has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.