Stock Analysis

Vanke Overseas Investment Holding (HKG:1036) Will Pay A Dividend Of HK$0.09

SEHK:1036
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Vanke Overseas Investment Holding Company Limited (HKG:1036) has announced that it will pay a dividend of HK$0.09 per share on the 12th of July. This payment means that the dividend yield will be 4.5%, which is around the industry average.

See our latest analysis for Vanke Overseas Investment Holding

Vanke Overseas Investment Holding Doesn't Earn Enough To Cover Its Payments

We aren't too impressed by dividend yields unless they can be sustained over time. Before making this announcement, Vanke Overseas Investment Holding's dividend was higher than its profits, but the free cash flows quite comfortably covered it. Healthy cash flows are always a positive sign, especially when they quite easily cover the dividend.

EPS is set to fall by 28.9% over the next 12 months if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 209%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.

historic-dividend
SEHK:1036 Historic Dividend March 29th 2023

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was HK$0.66 in 2013, and the most recent fiscal year payment was HK$0.09. Dividend payments have fallen sharply, down 86% over that time. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

With a relatively unstable dividend, and a poor history of shrinking dividends, it's even more important to see if EPS is growing. Earnings per share has been sinking by 29% over the last five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough.

Vanke Overseas Investment Holding's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. To that end, Vanke Overseas Investment Holding has 5 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.