Stock Analysis

Here's Why China Resources Pharmaceutical Group (HKG:3320) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

SEHK:3320
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that China Resources Pharmaceutical Group Limited (HKG:3320) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for China Resources Pharmaceutical Group

What Is China Resources Pharmaceutical Group's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2021 China Resources Pharmaceutical Group had HK$69.3b of debt, an increase on HK$59.5b, over one year. On the flip side, it has HK$24.7b in cash leading to net debt of about HK$44.6b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:3320 Debt to Equity History December 7th 2021

A Look At China Resources Pharmaceutical Group's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that China Resources Pharmaceutical Group had liabilities of HK$140.5b due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$9.22b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$24.7b as well as receivables valued at HK$106.7b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$18.3b.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of HK$21.7b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on China Resources Pharmaceutical Group's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

China Resources Pharmaceutical Group's debt is 3.9 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 4.0 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. On a slightly more positive note, China Resources Pharmaceutical Group grew its EBIT at 19% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine China Resources Pharmaceutical Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, China Resources Pharmaceutical Group recorded free cash flow worth 73% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

China Resources Pharmaceutical Group's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. Having said that, its net debt to EBITDA somewhat sensitizes us to potential future risks to the balance sheet. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about China Resources Pharmaceutical Group's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with China Resources Pharmaceutical Group (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.