Stock Analysis

Would Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (HKG:1349) Be Valuable To Income Investors?

SEHK:1349
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Could Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (HKG:1349) be an attractive dividend share to own for the long haul? Investors are often drawn to strong companies with the idea of reinvesting the dividends. Yet sometimes, investors buy a stock for its dividend and lose money because the share price falls by more than they earned in dividend payments.

Investors might not know much about Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-Pharmaceutical's dividend prospects, even though it has been paying dividends for the last six years and offers a 2.2% yield. A 2.2% yield is not inspiring, but the longer payment history has some appeal. Before you buy any stock for its dividend however, you should always remember Warren Buffett's two rules: 1) Don't lose money, and 2) Remember rule #1. We'll run through some checks below to help with this.

Explore this interactive chart for our latest analysis on Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-Pharmaceutical!

historic-dividend
SEHK:1349 Historic Dividend December 28th 2020

Payout ratios

Dividends are usually paid out of company earnings. If a company is paying more than it earns, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. So we need to form a view on if a company's dividend is sustainable, relative to its net profit after tax. Looking at the data, we can see that 34% of Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-Pharmaceutical's profits were paid out as dividends in the last 12 months. A medium payout ratio strikes a good balance between paying dividends, and keeping enough back to invest in the business. One of the risks is that management reinvests the retained capital poorly instead of paying a higher dividend.

Another important check we do is to see if the free cash flow generated is sufficient to pay the dividend. Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-Pharmaceutical paid out 59% of its cash flow as dividends last year, which is within a reasonable range for the average corporation. It's positive to see that Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-Pharmaceutical's dividend is covered by both profits and cash flow, since this is generally a sign that the dividend is sustainable, and a lower payout ratio usually suggests a greater margin of safety before the dividend gets cut.

With a strong net cash balance, Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-Pharmaceutical investors may not have much to worry about in the near term from a dividend perspective.

Remember, you can always get a snapshot of Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-Pharmaceutical's latest financial position, by checking our visualisation of its financial health.

Dividend Volatility

From the perspective of an income investor who wants to earn dividends for many years, there is not much point buying a stock if its dividend is regularly cut or is not reliable. Looking at the data, we can see that Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-Pharmaceutical has been paying a dividend for the past six years. Although it has been paying a dividend for several years now, the dividend has been cut at least once, and we're cautious about the consistency of its dividend across a full economic cycle. During the past six-year period, the first annual payment was CN¥0.05 in 2014, compared to CN¥0.07 last year. Dividends per share have grown at approximately 5.8% per year over this time. The growth in dividends has not been linear, but the CAGR is a decent approximation of the rate of change over this time frame.

It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-Pharmaceutical might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.

Dividend Growth Potential

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-Pharmaceutical has grown its earnings per share at 8.7% per annum over the past five years. It's good to see decent earnings growth and a low payout ratio. Companies with these characteristics often display the fastest dividend growth over the long term - assuming earnings can be maintained, of course.

We'd also point out that Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-Pharmaceutical issued a meaningful number of new shares in the past year. Regularly issuing new shares can be detrimental - it's hard to grow dividends per share when new shares are regularly being created.

Conclusion

Dividend investors should always want to know if a) a company's dividends are affordable, b) if there is a track record of consistent payments, and c) if the dividend is capable of growing. Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-Pharmaceutical's dividend payout ratios are within normal bounds, although we note its cash flow is not as strong as the income statement would suggest. We were also glad to see it growing earnings, but it was concerning to see the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-Pharmaceutical has a number of positive attributes, but it falls slightly short of our (admittedly high) standards. Were there evidence of a strong moat or an attractive valuation, it could still be well worth a look.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-Pharmaceutical that investors need to be conscious of moving forward.

If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of dividend stocks yielding above 3%.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
*Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020


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About SEHK:1349

Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-PharmaceuticalLtd

Engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of bio-pharmaceutical products in the People's Republic of China.

Flawless balance sheet very low.

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