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Earnings Working Against Homeland Interactive Technology Ltd.'s (HKG:3798) Share Price Following 27% Dive
Homeland Interactive Technology Ltd. (HKG:3798) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 27% share price drop in the last month. Looking back over the past twelve months the stock has been a solid performer regardless, with a gain of 18%.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, Homeland Interactive Technology's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.2x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 10x and even P/E's above 18x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Earnings have risen firmly for Homeland Interactive Technology recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Homeland Interactive Technology
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Homeland Interactive Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
Homeland Interactive Technology's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 24%. The latest three year period has also seen a 10% overall rise in EPS, aided extensively by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 21% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's understandable that Homeland Interactive Technology's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.
The Key Takeaway
Homeland Interactive Technology's P/E has taken a tumble along with its share price. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Homeland Interactive Technology revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Homeland Interactive Technology that you need to take into consideration.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Homeland Interactive Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Homeland Interactive Technology might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:3798
Homeland Interactive Technology
Engages in the development, publication, and operation of localized mobile card and board games in the People’s Republic of China.
Flawless balance sheet and fair value.