Stock Analysis

Does XD (HKG:2400) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SEHK:2400
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that XD Inc. (HKG:2400) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for XD

What Is XD's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that XD had debt of CN¥1.55b at the end of December 2023, a reduction from CN¥1.83b over a year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥3.35b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.80b net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2400 Debt to Equity History March 29th 2024

A Look At XD's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that XD had liabilities of CN¥2.38b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥158.6m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥3.35b and CN¥286.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥1.10b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus suggests that XD is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Succinctly put, XD boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine XD's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, XD saw its revenue hold pretty steady, and it did not report positive earnings before interest and tax. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.

So How Risky Is XD?

Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And the fact is that over the last twelve months XD lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥65m and booked a CN¥83m accounting loss. While this does make the company a bit risky, it's important to remember it has net cash of CN¥1.80b. That kitty means the company can keep spending for growth for at least two years, at current rates. Overall, its balance sheet doesn't seem overly risky, at the moment, but we're always cautious until we see the positive free cash flow. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for XD that you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether XD is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.