Fire Rock Holdings Limited's (HKG:1909) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 27%
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Fire Rock Holdings Limited (HKG:1909) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 33% in that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for thinking Fire Rock Holdings is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 2.4x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Entertainment industry have P/S ratios below 1.5x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
We've discovered 3 warning signs about Fire Rock Holdings. View them for free.See our latest analysis for Fire Rock Holdings
What Does Fire Rock Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Fire Rock Holdings has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this good revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Fire Rock Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Fire Rock Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 4.2%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 86% overall drop in revenue. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 13% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Fire Rock Holdings is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Fire Rock Holdings' P/S
Fire Rock Holdings' P/S remain high even after its stock plunged. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Fire Rock Holdings revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Fire Rock Holdings (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Fire Rock Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.