Stock Analysis

Be Friends Holding Limited's (HKG:1450) Stock Retreats 29% But Revenues Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors

SEHK:1450
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Be Friends Holding Limited (HKG:1450) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 29% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 47% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, given close to half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Media industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.7x, you may still consider Be Friends Holding as a stock to potentially avoid with its 2.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Be Friends Holding

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1450 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 14th 2023

How Has Be Friends Holding Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Be Friends Holding has been doing very well. The P/S ratio is probably high because investors think this strong revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Be Friends Holding, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Be Friends Holding's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 215% gain to the company's top line. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 19% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Be Friends Holding's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the wider industry.

What We Can Learn From Be Friends Holding's P/S?

Despite the recent share price weakness, Be Friends Holding's P/S remains higher than most other companies in the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Be Friends Holding maintains its high P/S on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider industry forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident revenue aren't under threat. Barring any significant changes to the company's ability to make money, the share price should continue to be propped up.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Be Friends Holding, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Be Friends Holding might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.