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Subdued Growth No Barrier To Universe Entertainment and Culture Group Company Limited (HKG:1046) With Shares Advancing 28%
Universe Entertainment and Culture Group Company Limited (HKG:1046) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. Looking further back, the 17% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Universe Entertainment and Culture Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.7x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Entertainment industry is similar at about 1.4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
See our latest analysis for Universe Entertainment and Culture Group
How Universe Entertainment and Culture Group Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Universe Entertainment and Culture Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Universe Entertainment and Culture Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Universe Entertainment and Culture Group would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 31% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 23% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 13% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Universe Entertainment and Culture Group's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
What Does Universe Entertainment and Culture Group's P/S Mean For Investors?
Universe Entertainment and Culture Group appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We find it unexpected that Universe Entertainment and Culture Group trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Universe Entertainment and Culture Group has 4 warning signs (and 3 which are significant) we think you should know about.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1046
Universe Entertainment and Culture Group
An investment holding company, engages in the video and film distribution and exhibition; and film rights and television series licensing and sub-licensing businesses in Hong Kong, the People’s Republic of China, rest of Asia, and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet slight.
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