Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Xingfa Aluminium Holdings (HKG:98) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

SEHK:98
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Limited (HKG:98) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Xingfa Aluminium Holdings

What Is Xingfa Aluminium Holdings's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2021 Xingfa Aluminium Holdings had debt of CN¥1.75b, up from CN¥1.13b in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.64b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥108.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:98 Debt to Equity History June 2nd 2022

A Look At Xingfa Aluminium Holdings' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Xingfa Aluminium Holdings had liabilities of CN¥5.54b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.32b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.64b in cash and CN¥4.67b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥552.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, Xingfa Aluminium Holdings has a market capitalization of CN¥3.93b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With debt at a measly 0.074 times EBITDA and EBIT covering interest a whopping 47.1 times, it's clear that Xingfa Aluminium Holdings is not a desperate borrower. Indeed relative to its earnings its debt load seems light as a feather. Also good is that Xingfa Aluminium Holdings grew its EBIT at 18% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Xingfa Aluminium Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Xingfa Aluminium Holdings recorded free cash flow worth 56% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

The good news is that Xingfa Aluminium Holdings's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its net debt to EBITDA also supports that impression! Zooming out, Xingfa Aluminium Holdings seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Xingfa Aluminium Holdings that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.