Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 37.9% and 8.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 38.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 5.6% in 3 years.
Key information
37.9%
Earnings growth rate
38.1%
EPS growth rate
| Forestry earnings growth | 33.4% |
| Revenue growth rate | 8.9% |
| Future return on equity | 5.6% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 22 Jan 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Estimating The Fair Value Of Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited (HKG:2689)
Jan 29
There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)'s (HKG:2689) Returns On Capital
Nov 28What You Can Learn From Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited's (HKG:2689) P/S After Its 25% Share Price Crash
Nov 01Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited (HKG:2689)
Oct 22Some Analysts Just Cut Their Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited (HKG:2689) Estimates
Sep 30A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited's (HKG:2689) Share Price
Aug 30Investors Could Be Concerned With Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)'s (HKG:2689) Returns On Capital
Jul 26A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited's (HKG:2689) 27% Share Price Climb
May 13The Returns On Capital At Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) (HKG:2689) Don't Inspire Confidence
Apr 26Is Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) (HKG:2689) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Sep 26Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited (HKG:2689) Shares Could Be 43% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Jul 24Health Check: How Prudently Does Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) (HKG:2689) Use Debt?
Mar 06What Does Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited's (HKG:2689) Share Price Indicate?
Dec 16Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) (HKG:2689) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively
Nov 25These 4 Measures Indicate That Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) (HKG:2689) Is Using Debt In A Risky Way
Oct 26Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited's (HKG:2689) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 92% Above Its Share Price
Aug 23Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) (HKG:2689) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward
Jul 24These 4 Measures Indicate That Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) (HKG:2689) Is Using Debt Extensively
May 27Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited (HKG:2689) Shares Could Be 37% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Apr 28The Returns At Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) (HKG:2689) Aren't Growing
Apr 06Is Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) (HKG:2689) Using Too Much Debt?
Feb 23Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited's (HKG:2689) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 56% Above Its Share Price
Jan 27Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) (HKG:2689) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital
Dec 27Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)'s (HKG:2689) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
Oct 27Is Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) (HKG:2689) Using Too Much Debt?
Oct 19The Return Trends At Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) (HKG:2689) Look Promising
Sep 28Estimating The Fair Value Of Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited (HKG:2689)
Sep 01Investors Will Want Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)'s (HKG:2689) Growth In ROCE To Persist
Jun 03An Intrinsic Calculation For Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited (HKG:2689) Suggests It's 28% Undervalued
Apr 22Is Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) (HKG:2689) Using Too Much Debt?
Mar 23Will The ROCE Trend At Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) (HKG:2689) Continue?
Mar 05Is Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited (HKG:2689) A Smart Pick For Income Investors?
Feb 18
Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited's (HKG:2689) Stock's On An Uptrend: Are Strong Financials Guiding The Market?
Jan 31Are Investors Undervaluing Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited (HKG:2689) By 37%?
Jan 11Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) (HKG:2689) Has Gifted Shareholders With A Fantastic 193% Total Return On Their Investment
Dec 24Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited (HKG:2689) Passed Our Checks, And It's About To Pay A CN¥0.22 Dividend
Dec 09Returns On Capital - An Important Metric For Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) (HKG:2689)
Dec 02Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/30/2027 | 78,310 | 2,607 | 2,139 | 6,282 | 6 |
| 6/30/2026 | 71,718 | 2,014 | 2,250 | 6,165 | 10 |
| 6/30/2025 | 66,729 | 1,276 | -3,140 | 8,182 | 11 |
| 6/30/2024 | 59,496 | 751 | -13,613 | -794 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 57,825 | 24 | -12,725 | 450 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 56,153 | -702 | -11,836 | 1,694 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 56,446 | -1,543 | -11,305 | 4,309 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 56,739 | -2,383 | -10,773 | 6,924 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 59,002 | -1,636 | -12,875 | 4,742 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 61,265 | -888 | -14,977 | 2,560 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 62,901 | 1,194 | -12,284 | 2,795 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 64,538 | 3,275 | -9,591 | 3,030 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 64,848 | 4,575 | -8,346 | 2,800 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 65,159 | 5,874 | -7,100 | 2,570 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 63,366 | 6,488 | -5,322 | 2,544 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 61,574 | 7,101 | -3,543 | 2,517 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 57,483 | 6,496 | -1,180 | 3,712 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 53,392 | 5,892 | 1,184 | 4,907 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 52,367 | 5,030 | 2,669 | 6,928 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 51,341 | 4,168 | 4,155 | 8,949 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 52,218 | 4,030 | 4,874 | 10,146 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 53,094 | 3,891 | 5,593 | 11,344 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 53,852 | 3,885 | 4,266 | 10,144 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 54,609 | 3,879 | 2,938 | 8,943 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 56,046 | 4,832 | 2,171 | 9,023 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 57,483 | 5,786 | 1,404 | 9,102 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 55,133 | 6,817 | 1,709 | 8,751 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 52,782 | 7,848 | 2,014 | 8,400 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 49,230 | 7,323 | N/A | 6,230 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 45,679 | 6,798 | N/A | 4,060 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 42,417 | 5,591 | N/A | 3,787 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 39,155 | 4,384 | N/A | 3,513 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 37,031 | 3,554 | N/A | 5,196 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 34,907 | 2,724 | N/A | 6,878 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 33,500 | 1,923 | N/A | 6,669 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 32,093 | 1,122 | N/A | 6,460 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 31,405 | 1,083 | N/A | 6,252 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 30,717 | 1,044 | N/A | 6,043 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 30,405 | 1,228 | N/A | 5,825 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 30,093 | 1,412 | N/A | 5,606 | N/A |
| 3/31/2015 | 29,997 | 1,437 | N/A | 5,131 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 29,901 | 1,462 | N/A | 4,656 | N/A |
| 9/30/2014 | 29,415 | 1,609 | N/A | 4,069 | N/A |
| 6/30/2014 | 28,929 | 1,755 | N/A | 3,482 | N/A |
| 3/31/2014 | 28,828 | 1,815 | N/A | 757 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: 2689's forecast earnings growth (37.9% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).
Earnings vs Market: 2689's earnings (37.9% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (11.4% per year).
High Growth Earnings: 2689's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: 2689's revenue (8.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (7.7% per year).
High Growth Revenue: 2689's revenue (8.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: 2689's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (5.6%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/02/07 10:35 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/02/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2024/06/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited is covered by 33 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Kathryn Ding | BNP Paribas Securities (Asia) |
| Xiao Xing | BOCI Research Ltd. |
| Yanlin Zhao | BofA Global Research |