Stock Analysis

Additional Considerations Required While Assessing China Graphite Group's (HKG:2237) Strong Earnings

SEHK:2237
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China Graphite Group Limited's (HKG:2237) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.

Check out our latest analysis for China Graphite Group

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:2237 Earnings and Revenue History September 7th 2023

Examining Cashflow Against China Graphite Group's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to June 2023, China Graphite Group recorded an accrual ratio of 0.24. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥4.7m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥62.4m. It's worth noting that China Graphite Group generated positive FCF of CN¥53m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. One positive for China Graphite Group shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of China Graphite Group.

Our Take On China Graphite Group's Profit Performance

China Graphite Group's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that China Graphite Group's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. The good news is that its earnings per share increased slightly in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with China Graphite Group (including 1 which is significant).

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of China Graphite Group's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.