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China Hongqiao Group Limited (HKG:1378) Stock Catapults 28% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Market
China Hongqiao Group Limited (HKG:1378) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 83% in the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, given about half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 10x, you may still consider China Hongqiao Group as an attractive investment with its 6.3x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Recent times have been advantageous for China Hongqiao Group as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Check out our latest analysis for China Hongqiao Group
Keen to find out how analysts think China Hongqiao Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Any Growth For China Hongqiao Group?
China Hongqiao Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 445% gain to the company's bottom line. EPS has also lifted 6.9% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 3.7% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 12% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that China Hongqiao Group's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From China Hongqiao Group's P/E?
Despite China Hongqiao Group's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that China Hongqiao Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for China Hongqiao Group that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than China Hongqiao Group. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1378
China Hongqiao Group
An investment holding company, manufactures and sells aluminum products in the People's Republic of China and Indonesia.
Flawless balance sheet, undervalued and pays a dividend.