Stock Analysis

We Think Huasheng International Holding (HKG:1323) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

SEHK:1323
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Huasheng International Holding Limited (HKG:1323) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Huasheng International Holding

What Is Huasheng International Holding's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Huasheng International Holding had HK$320.4m of debt at September 2022, down from HK$348.9m a year prior. On the flip side, it has HK$162.2m in cash leading to net debt of about HK$158.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1323 Debt to Equity History December 26th 2022

A Look At Huasheng International Holding's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Huasheng International Holding had liabilities of HK$733.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$251.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had HK$162.2m in cash and HK$887.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has HK$65.3m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus suggests that Huasheng International Holding has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Even though Huasheng International Holding's debt is only 2.1, its interest cover is really very low at 2.3. This does have us wondering if the company pays high interest because it is considered risky. In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. We saw Huasheng International Holding grow its EBIT by 9.9% in the last twelve months. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Huasheng International Holding's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Huasheng International Holding created free cash flow amounting to 19% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

Huasheng International Holding's interest cover was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we thought its level of total liabilities was a positive. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Huasheng International Holding is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Huasheng International Holding is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Huasheng International Holding might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.