China Resources Cement (SEHK:1313) One-Off CN¥257.5m Loss Challenges Earnings Recovery Narrative
China Resources Building Materials Technology Holdings (SEHK:1313) reported a one-off loss of CN¥257.5 million over the twelve months to 30th September 2025, which dragged its net profit margin down to 1%, compared to 1.4% last year. Over the last five years, earnings have declined at an average rate of 60.9% per year, with earnings growth turning negative in the latest period. This has pushed recent performance far below its longer-term trends. Despite these setbacks, analyst forecasts point toward annual earnings growth of 41.8% over the next three years, offering some optimism for investors focused on future rebound potential.
See our full analysis for China Resources Building Materials Technology Holdings.Next, we will see how these earnings results stack up against the most widely discussed market narratives, giving a clearer picture of where consensus might be right or due for a rethink.
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Profit Margin Slips to 1% After One-Off Loss
- The company’s net profit margin dropped to 1%, below last year’s 1.4%, following a one-off CN¥257.5 million loss that weighed on operational profitability even further.
- Forecasts expect profit to rebound sharply. Analysts see annual earnings rising 41.8% over the next three years, which challenges the narrative that one-off costs and margin compression truly define the future. Instead, forecasts point to
- Faster expected profit growth than the Hong Kong market, with company forecasts at 41.8% per year versus 12.3% per year for the broader market.
- These optimistic projections create a high bar for the anticipated turnaround, especially since profit margins are starting from such a low baseline.
Revenue Growth Lags Behind Sector Trends
- Annual revenue is expected to increase by just 3.9% per year, an underperformance when compared to the broader market’s average growth of 8.6% per year in Hong Kong.
- Anticipated profit growth depends heavily on cost control, given that top-line sales are not keeping pace. This raises two critical discussion points:
- The slow revenue trajectory means that margin expansion and cost management must drive future earnings gains rather than robust sales growth alone.
- This gap creates tension with sector narratives around recovery, implying the company may benefit less from demand rebounds than peers whose top-line growth is stronger.
Shares Priced at a Steep Premium
- With a price-to-earnings ratio of 48.8x, the stock trades more than three times the average for Asian Basic Materials companies (15.4x) and well above peers (14.7x). This suggests a premium that may reflect growth expectations rather than recent performance.
- These elevated valuation levels heighten risk for investors if promised earnings growth fails to materialize. The current share price of HK$1.78 is also above the DCF fair value of HK$1.46 and below the analyst price target of HK$2.17, making the following considerations important:
- Any shortfall in the projected turnaround could sharply challenge market optimism, making the gap between price, underlying fundamentals, and sector multiples even more critical to watch.
- Valuation risks stand out more given ongoing concerns about structural sector weakness, including continued headwinds in construction demand and legacy losses still flowing through financial results.
Next Steps
Don't just look at this quarter; the real story is in the long-term trend. We've done an in-depth analysis on China Resources Building Materials Technology Holdings's growth and its valuation to see if today's price is a bargain. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio now so you don't miss the next big move.
See What Else Is Out There
China Resources Building Materials faces sluggish revenue growth, thin profit margins, and premium valuation risks. These factors leave little margin for error if the turnaround falters.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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