Stock Analysis

Huili Resources (Group) (HKG:1303) Is In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans

SEHK:1303
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Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.

So should Huili Resources (Group) (HKG:1303) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.

View our latest analysis for Huili Resources (Group)

How Long Is Huili Resources (Group)'s Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. In June 2021, Huili Resources (Group) had CN¥136m in cash, and was debt-free. Importantly, its cash burn was CN¥48m over the trailing twelve months. Therefore, from June 2021 it had 2.8 years of cash runway. Arguably, that's a prudent and sensible length of runway to have. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1303 Debt to Equity History December 24th 2021

Is Huili Resources (Group)'s Revenue Growing?

Given that Huili Resources (Group) actually had positive free cash flow last year, before burning cash this year, we'll focus on its operating revenue to get a measure of the business trajectory. The good news is that operating revenue growth was as flash as a rat with a gold tooth, up 486% in that time. In reality, this article only makes a short study of the company's growth data. This graph of historic revenue growth shows how Huili Resources (Group) is building its business over time.

How Hard Would It Be For Huili Resources (Group) To Raise More Cash For Growth?

There's no doubt Huili Resources (Group)'s revenue growth is impressive but even if it's only hypothetical, it's always worth asking how easily it could raise more money to fund further growth. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Huili Resources (Group) has a market capitalisation of CN¥225m and burnt through CN¥48m last year, which is 21% of the company's market value. That's not insignificant, and if the company had to sell enough shares to fund another year's growth at the current share price, you'd likely witness fairly costly dilution.

Is Huili Resources (Group)'s Cash Burn A Worry?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about Huili Resources (Group)'s cash burn. For example, we think its revenue growth suggests that the company is on a good path. While its cash burn relative to its market cap wasn't great, the other factors mentioned in this article more than make up for weakness on that measure. Looking at all the measures in this article, together, we're not worried about its rate of cash burn; the company seems well on top of its medium-term spending needs. Its important for readers to be cognizant of the risks that can affect the company's operations, and we've picked out 2 warning signs for Huili Resources (Group) that investors should know when investing in the stock.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.