Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group Limited (HKG:1116) Stock Rockets 28% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group Limited (HKG:1116) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 28% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Metals and Mining industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
View our latest analysis for Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group
What Does Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group, which is generally not a bad outcome. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to only match most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. Those who are bullish on Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 6.4% last year. Revenue has also lifted 26% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 10% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group's P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What We Can Learn From Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group's P/S?
Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you need to take into consideration.
If you're unsure about the strength of Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.