Stock Analysis

Is Shunten International (Holdings) (HKG:932) A Risky Investment?

SEHK:932
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Shunten International (Holdings) Limited (HKG:932) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Shunten International (Holdings)

What Is Shunten International (Holdings)'s Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shunten International (Holdings) had debt of HK$151.9m at the end of March 2021, a reduction from HK$191.1m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of HK$36.7m, its net debt is less, at about HK$115.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:932 Debt to Equity History August 9th 2021

How Healthy Is Shunten International (Holdings)'s Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Shunten International (Holdings) had liabilities of HK$179.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$9.69m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$36.7m and HK$49.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling HK$103.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Shunten International (Holdings) has a market capitalization of HK$333.4m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shunten International (Holdings) will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year Shunten International (Holdings) had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 27%, to HK$223m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

While Shunten International (Holdings)'s falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at HK$57k. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of HK$126m. In the meantime, we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Shunten International (Holdings) (including 1 which is concerning) .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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