Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That China Golden Classic Group (HKG:8281) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

SEHK:8281
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that China Golden Classic Group Limited (HKG:8281) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for China Golden Classic Group

What Is China Golden Classic Group's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that China Golden Classic Group had CN„15.0m of debt in June 2021, down from CN„50.0m, one year before. But on the other hand it also has CN„55.5m in cash, leading to a CN„40.5m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:8281 Debt to Equity History September 8th 2021

A Look At China Golden Classic Group's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, China Golden Classic Group had liabilities of CN„89.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN„1.32m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN„55.5m and CN„29.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN„6.02m.

Given China Golden Classic Group has a market capitalization of CN„105.7m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, China Golden Classic Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

It is just as well that China Golden Classic Group's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 28% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is China Golden Classic Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While China Golden Classic Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, China Golden Classic Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Summing up

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that China Golden Classic Group has CN„40.5m in net cash. The cherry on top was that in converted 211% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN„9.7m. So we don't have any problem with China Golden Classic Group's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for China Golden Classic Group that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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