Stock Analysis

Is Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings (HKG:874) A Risky Investment?

SEHK:874
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited (HKG:874) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings

What Is Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings had debt of CN¥13.2b, up from CN¥12.4b in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥19.8b in cash, so it actually has CN¥6.51b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:874 Debt to Equity History May 13th 2024

How Healthy Is Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings had liabilities of CN¥34.1b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥5.87b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥19.8b and CN¥23.7b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥3.46b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This short term liquidity is a sign that Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

While Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings doesn't seem to have gained much on the EBIT line, at least earnings remain stable for now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 57% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings has CN¥6.51b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So is Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:874

Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings

Engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of Chinese patent and Western medicines, chemical raw materials, natural and biological medicines, and intermediates of chemical raw materials in the People’s Republic of China and internationally.

Excellent balance sheet average dividend payer.