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We're Not Very Worried About Venus Medtech (Hangzhou)'s (HKG:2500) Cash Burn Rate
We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.
So, the natural question for Venus Medtech (Hangzhou) (HKG:2500) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.
See our latest analysis for Venus Medtech (Hangzhou)
How Long Is Venus Medtech (Hangzhou)'s Cash Runway?
A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. Venus Medtech (Hangzhou) has such a small amount of debt that we'll set it aside, and focus on the CN¥3.0b in cash it held at December 2021. Importantly, its cash burn was CN¥559m over the trailing twelve months. That means it had a cash runway of about 5.3 years as of December 2021. Even though this is but one measure of the company's cash burn, the thought of such a long cash runway warms our bellies in a comforting way. Importantly, if we extrapolate recent cash burn trends, the cash runway would be noticeably longer. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.
How Well Is Venus Medtech (Hangzhou) Growing?
Venus Medtech (Hangzhou) boosted investment sharply in the last year, with cash burn ramping by 55%. While that isa little concerning at a glance, the company has a track record of recent growth, evidenced by the impressive 51% growth in revenue, over the very same year. Considering the factors above, the company doesn’t fare badly when it comes to assessing how it is changing over time. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.
Can Venus Medtech (Hangzhou) Raise More Cash Easily?
We are certainly impressed with the progress Venus Medtech (Hangzhou) has made over the last year, but it is also worth considering how costly it would be if it wanted to raise more cash to fund faster growth. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.
Since it has a market capitalisation of CN¥5.6b, Venus Medtech (Hangzhou)'s CN¥559m in cash burn equates to about 10.0% of its market value. Given that is a rather small percentage, it would probably be really easy for the company to fund another year's growth by issuing some new shares to investors, or even by taking out a loan.
So, Should We Worry About Venus Medtech (Hangzhou)'s Cash Burn?
As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about Venus Medtech (Hangzhou)'s cash burn. For example, we think its revenue growth suggests that the company is on a good path. Although its increasing cash burn does give us reason for pause, the other metrics we discussed in this article form a positive picture overall. After taking into account the various metrics mentioned in this report, we're pretty comfortable with how the company is spending its cash, as it seems on track to meet its needs over the medium term. Readers need to have a sound understanding of business risks before investing in a stock, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Venus Medtech (Hangzhou) that potential shareholders should take into account before putting money into a stock.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:2500
Venus Medtech (Hangzhou)
Engages in the research, development, clinical development, manufacturing, and sale of bioprosthetic heart valves in Mainland China and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet and fair value.
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