Stock Analysis

We're Interested To See How Venus Medtech (Hangzhou) (HKG:2500) Uses Its Cash Hoard To Grow

SEHK:2500
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Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.

So should Venus Medtech (Hangzhou) (HKG:2500) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

View our latest analysis for Venus Medtech (Hangzhou)

How Long Is Venus Medtech (Hangzhou)'s Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. In December 2020, Venus Medtech (Hangzhou) had CN¥2.7b in cash, and was debt-free. In the last year, its cash burn was CN¥361m. That means it had a cash runway of about 7.5 years as of December 2020. Notably, however, analysts think that Venus Medtech (Hangzhou) will break even (at a free cash flow level) before then. In that case, it may never reach the end of its cash runway. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2500 Debt to Equity History August 16th 2021

How Well Is Venus Medtech (Hangzhou) Growing?

Some investors might find it troubling that Venus Medtech (Hangzhou) is actually increasing its cash burn, which is up 10% in the last year. At least the revenue was up 18% during the period, even if it wasn't up by much. Considering the factors above, the company doesn’t fare badly when it comes to assessing how it is changing over time. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

Can Venus Medtech (Hangzhou) Raise More Cash Easily?

We are certainly impressed with the progress Venus Medtech (Hangzhou) has made over the last year, but it is also worth considering how costly it would be if it wanted to raise more cash to fund faster growth. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

Since it has a market capitalisation of CN¥15b, Venus Medtech (Hangzhou)'s CN¥361m in cash burn equates to about 2.4% of its market value. So it could almost certainly just borrow a little to fund another year's growth, or else easily raise the cash by issuing a few shares.

So, Should We Worry About Venus Medtech (Hangzhou)'s Cash Burn?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about Venus Medtech (Hangzhou)'s cash burn. For example, we think its cash runway suggests that the company is on a good path. While its increasing cash burn wasn't great, the other factors mentioned in this article more than make up for weakness on that measure. There's no doubt that shareholders can take a lot of heart from the fact that analysts are forecasting it will reach breakeven before too long. After considering a range of factors in this article, we're pretty relaxed about its cash burn, since the company seems to be in a good position to continue to fund its growth. Readers need to have a sound understanding of business risks before investing in a stock, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Venus Medtech (Hangzhou) that potential shareholders should take into account before putting money into a stock.

If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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