Stock Analysis

Beijing Health (Holdings) (HKG:2389) Is In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans

SEHK:2389
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We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Beijing Health (Holdings) (HKG:2389) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

See our latest analysis for Beijing Health (Holdings)

Does Beijing Health (Holdings) Have A Long Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. When Beijing Health (Holdings) last reported its June 2023 balance sheet in September 2023, it had zero debt and cash worth HK$391m. Importantly, its cash burn was HK$45m over the trailing twelve months. Therefore, from June 2023 it had 8.7 years of cash runway. While this is only one measure of its cash burn situation, it certainly gives us the impression that holders have nothing to worry about. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2389 Debt to Equity History March 1st 2024

Is Beijing Health (Holdings)'s Revenue Growing?

Given that Beijing Health (Holdings) actually had positive free cash flow last year, before burning cash this year, we'll focus on its operating revenue to get a measure of the business trajectory. Regrettably, the company's operating revenue moved in the wrong direction over the last twelve months, declining by 29%. In reality, this article only makes a short study of the company's growth data. You can take a look at how Beijing Health (Holdings) has developed its business over time by checking this visualization of its revenue and earnings history.

Can Beijing Health (Holdings) Raise More Cash Easily?

Given its problematic fall in revenue, Beijing Health (Holdings) shareholders should consider how the company could fund its growth, if it turns out it needs more cash. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Since it has a market capitalisation of HK$430m, Beijing Health (Holdings)'s HK$45m in cash burn equates to about 10% of its market value. Given that situation, it's fair to say the company wouldn't have much trouble raising more cash for growth, but shareholders would be somewhat diluted.

Is Beijing Health (Holdings)'s Cash Burn A Worry?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about Beijing Health (Holdings)'s cash burn. In particular, we think its cash runway stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. Although its falling revenue does give us reason for pause, the other metrics we discussed in this article form a positive picture overall. Looking at all the measures in this article, together, we're not worried about its rate of cash burn; the company seems well on top of its medium-term spending needs. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 2 warning signs for Beijing Health (Holdings) (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course Beijing Health (Holdings) may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.