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We're Not Very Worried About Ping An Healthcare and Technology's (HKG:1833) Cash Burn Rate
Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.
So, the natural question for Ping An Healthcare and Technology (HKG:1833) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.
See our latest analysis for Ping An Healthcare and Technology
Does Ping An Healthcare and Technology Have A Long Cash Runway?
A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. As at June 2021, Ping An Healthcare and Technology had cash of CN¥9.4b and no debt. Importantly, its cash burn was CN¥1.1b over the trailing twelve months. That means it had a cash runway of about 8.2 years as of June 2021. Importantly, though, analysts think that Ping An Healthcare and Technology will reach cashflow breakeven before then. In that case, it may never reach the end of its cash runway. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.
How Well Is Ping An Healthcare and Technology Growing?
Notably, Ping An Healthcare and Technology actually ramped up its cash burn very hard and fast in the last year, by 144%, signifying heavy investment in the business. On the bright side, at least operating revenue was up 43% over the same period, giving some cause for hope. Considering both these factors, we're not particularly excited by its growth profile. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.
How Hard Would It Be For Ping An Healthcare and Technology To Raise More Cash For Growth?
We are certainly impressed with the progress Ping An Healthcare and Technology has made over the last year, but it is also worth considering how costly it would be if it wanted to raise more cash to fund faster growth. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).
Ping An Healthcare and Technology's cash burn of CN¥1.1b is about 3.5% of its CN¥33b market capitalisation. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.
How Risky Is Ping An Healthcare and Technology's Cash Burn Situation?
As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about Ping An Healthcare and Technology's cash burn. In particular, we think its cash runway stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. While we must concede that its increasing cash burn is a bit worrying, the other factors mentioned in this article provide great comfort when it comes to the cash burn. Shareholders can take heart from the fact that analysts are forecasting it will reach breakeven. After taking into account the various metrics mentioned in this report, we're pretty comfortable with how the company is spending its cash, as it seems on track to meet its needs over the medium term. Readers need to have a sound understanding of business risks before investing in a stock, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Ping An Healthcare and Technology that potential shareholders should take into account before putting money into a stock.
Of course Ping An Healthcare and Technology may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:1833
Ping An Healthcare and Technology
Operates an online healthcare services platform in China.
Adequate balance sheet and fair value.