Stock Analysis

Does China Suntien Green Energy (HKG:956) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SEHK:956
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that China Suntien Green Energy Corporation Limited (HKG:956) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for China Suntien Green Energy

How Much Debt Does China Suntien Green Energy Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 China Suntien Green Energy had debt of CN¥43.3b, up from CN¥39.2b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥4.43b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥38.9b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:956 Debt to Equity History October 29th 2024

How Healthy Is China Suntien Green Energy's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that China Suntien Green Energy had liabilities of CN¥21.0b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥34.4b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥4.43b and CN¥7.64b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥43.3b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥24.3b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, China Suntien Green Energy would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.8, it's fair to say China Suntien Green Energy does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 5.0 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. We saw China Suntien Green Energy grow its EBIT by 9.6% in the last twelve months. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if China Suntien Green Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, China Suntien Green Energy saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, China Suntien Green Energy's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like China Suntien Green Energy has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for China Suntien Green Energy (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.