Stock Analysis

After Leaping 31% China Oilfield Services Limited (HKG:2883) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

SEHK:2883
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China Oilfield Services Limited (HKG:2883) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 31% after a shaky period beforehand. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 12% is also fairly reasonable.

After such a large jump in price, China Oilfield Services may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.2x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 8x and even P/E's lower than 5x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, China Oilfield Services has been doing relatively well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for China Oilfield Services

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2883 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 29th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on China Oilfield Services.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, China Oilfield Services would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 28% gain to the company's bottom line. As a result, it also grew EPS by 11% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the ten analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 23% each year over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 15% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that China Oilfield Services' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

China Oilfield Services' P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that China Oilfield Services maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for China Oilfield Services with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than China Oilfield Services. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether China Oilfield Services is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.