Stock Analysis

China Coal Energy (HKG:1898) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

SEHK:1898
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that China Coal Energy Company Limited (HKG:1898) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for China Coal Energy

What Is China Coal Energy's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that China Coal Energy had CN„85.0b of debt in September 2022, down from CN„97.4b, one year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN„90.8b in cash, so it actually has CN„5.84b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1898 Debt to Equity History February 15th 2023

A Look At China Coal Energy's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, China Coal Energy had liabilities of CN„103.8b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN„71.4b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN„90.8b in cash and CN„20.5b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN„63.8b.

This is a mountain of leverage even relative to its gargantuan market capitalization of CN„98.0b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, China Coal Energy also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

In addition to that, we're happy to report that China Coal Energy has boosted its EBIT by 65%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if China Coal Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. China Coal Energy may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, China Coal Energy actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Summing Up

Although China Coal Energy's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN„5.84b. The cherry on top was that in converted 102% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN„42b. So we don't think China Coal Energy's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with China Coal Energy (including 1 which is potentially serious) .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.