Stock Analysis

Ziyuanyuan Holdings Group (HKG:8223) Shareholders Have Enjoyed A 14% Share Price Gain

SEHK:8223
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It might be of some concern to shareholders to see the Ziyuanyuan Holdings Group Limited (HKG:8223) share price down 19% in the last month. Taking a longer term view we see the stock is up over one year. But to be blunt its return of 14% fall short of what you could have got from an index fund (around 43%).

View our latest analysis for Ziyuanyuan Holdings Group

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During the last year, Ziyuanyuan Holdings Group actually saw its earnings per share drop 38%.

This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Indeed, when EPS is declining but the share price is up, it often means the market is considering other factors.

Unfortunately Ziyuanyuan Holdings Group's fell 17% over twelve months. So using a snapshot of key business metrics doesn't give us a good picture of why the market is bidding up the stock.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:8223 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 17th 2021

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Ziyuanyuan Holdings Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Ziyuanyuan Holdings Group's TSR for the last year was 17%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

Ziyuanyuan Holdings Group shareholders have gained 17% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately this falls short of the market return of around 43%. The stock trailed the market by 18% in that time, testament to the power of passive investing. It might be that investors are more concerned about the business lately due to some fundamental change (or else the share price simply got ahead of itself, previously). While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Ziyuanyuan Holdings Group has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

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