Dragon King Group Holdings Limited (HKG:8493) Stock Rockets 43% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Despite an already strong run, Dragon King Group Holdings Limited (HKG:8493) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 43% in the last thirty days. This latest share price bounce rounds out a remarkable 672% gain over the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Dragon King Group Holdings' P/S ratio of 0.8x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Hospitality industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Dragon King Group Holdings

How Has Dragon King Group Holdings Performed Recently?

For instance, Dragon King Group Holdings' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Dragon King Group Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Dragon King Group Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Dragon King Group Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 3.5%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 57% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 40% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Dragon King Group Holdings' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Dragon King Group Holdings' P/S is back within range of the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We find it unexpected that Dragon King Group Holdings trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Plus, you should also learn about these 6 warning signs we've spotted with Dragon King Group Holdings (including 3 which can't be ignored).

If you're unsure about the strength of Dragon King Group Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.