Stock Analysis

China Education Group Holdings (HKG:839) Has Announced That Its Dividend Will Be Reduced To CN¥0.1481

SEHK:839
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China Education Group Holdings Limited (HKG:839) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to CN¥0.1481 on the 27th of March. Despite the cut, the dividend yield of 6.3% will still be comparable to other companies in the industry.

View our latest analysis for China Education Group Holdings

China Education Group Holdings' Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

We aren't too impressed by dividend yields unless they can be sustained over time. The last dividend was quite easily covered by China Education Group Holdings' earnings. This indicates that a lot of the earnings are being reinvested into the business, with the aim of fueling growth.

The next year is set to see EPS grow by 81.9%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 41%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

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SEHK:839 Historic Dividend December 20th 2023

China Education Group Holdings' Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Even in its relatively short history, the company has reduced the dividend at least once. This suggests that the dividend might not be the most reliable. The annual payment during the last 5 years was CN¥0.0648 in 2018, and the most recent fiscal year payment was CN¥0.27. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 33% per annum over that time. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. We are encouraged to see that China Education Group Holdings has grown earnings per share at 15% per year over the past five years. The lack of cash flows does make us a bit cautious though, especially when it comes to the future of the dividend.

We Really Like China Education Group Holdings' Dividend

In general, we don't like to see the dividend being cut, especially when the company has such high potential like China Education Group Holdings does. The cut will allow the company to continue paying out the dividend without putting the balance sheet under pressure, which means that it could remain sustainable for longer. Taking this all into consideration, this looks like it could be a good dividend opportunity.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've picked out 4 warning signs for China Education Group Holdings that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.