Stock Analysis

China Demeter Financial Investments Limited's (HKG:8120) 44% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio

SEHK:8120
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China Demeter Financial Investments Limited (HKG:8120) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 44% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 41% share price drop.

Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that China Demeter Financial Investments' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Hospitality industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.8x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for China Demeter Financial Investments

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:8120 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 2nd 2024

What Does China Demeter Financial Investments' Recent Performance Look Like?

Revenue has risen firmly for China Demeter Financial Investments recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for China Demeter Financial Investments, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like China Demeter Financial Investments' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 11% last year. Revenue has also lifted 15% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 20% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that China Demeter Financial Investments' P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for China Demeter Financial Investments looks to be in line with the rest of the Hospitality industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of China Demeter Financial Investments revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for China Demeter Financial Investments that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on China Demeter Financial Investments, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether China Demeter Financial Investments is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:8120

China Demeter Financial Investments

An investment holding company, engages in food and beverage, money lending, financial services, securities investment, alcoholic beverage distribution, and children education businesses in Hong Kong and Singapore.

Excellent balance sheet and good value.