Stock Analysis

Would Rich Goldman Holdings (HKG:70) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

SEHK:70
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Rich Goldman Holdings Limited (HKG:70) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Rich Goldman Holdings

What Is Rich Goldman Holdings's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 Rich Goldman Holdings had HK$108.0m of debt, an increase on HK$74.0m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of HK$69.4m, its net debt is less, at about HK$38.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:70 Debt to Equity History November 2nd 2023

How Strong Is Rich Goldman Holdings' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Rich Goldman Holdings had liabilities of HK$94.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$141.6m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$69.4m and HK$119.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling HK$47.3m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Rich Goldman Holdings has a market capitalization of HK$128.0m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Rich Goldman Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Rich Goldman Holdings reported revenue of HK$98m, which is a gain of 63%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

Caveat Emptor

While we can certainly appreciate Rich Goldman Holdings's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Indeed, it lost HK$6.2m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of HK$11m. So we do think this stock is quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Rich Goldman Holdings (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Rich Goldman Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.