Stock Analysis

Shangri-La Asia Limited's (HKG:69) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

SEHK:69
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With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1x in the Hospitality industry in Hong Kong, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Shangri-La Asia Limited's (HKG:69) P/S ratio of 1.3x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for Shangri-La Asia

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:69 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 20th 2023

What Does Shangri-La Asia's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Shangri-La Asia certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Shangri-La Asia's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shangri-La Asia?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Shangri-La Asia's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 39% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 8.9% overall rise in revenue, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 24% during the coming year according to the six analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 40% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's curious that Shangri-La Asia's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Bottom Line On Shangri-La Asia's P/S

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Given that Shangri-La Asia's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

Having said that, be aware Shangri-La Asia is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shangri-La Asia, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:69

Shangri-La Asia

An investment holding company, develops, owns/leases, operates, and manages hotels and associated properties worldwide.

Undervalued with moderate growth potential.

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