Stock Analysis

China Oriented International Holdings' (HKG:1871) Robust Earnings Are Supported By Other Strong Factors

SEHK:1871
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The subdued stock price reaction suggests that China Oriented International Holdings Limited's (HKG:1871) strong earnings didn't offer any surprises. Our analysis suggests that investors might be missing some promising details.

See our latest analysis for China Oriented International Holdings

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:1871 Earnings and Revenue History September 22nd 2021

Examining Cashflow Against China Oriented International Holdings' Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to June 2021, China Oriented International Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of -0.17. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥27m, well over the CN¥13.7m it reported in profit. Given that China Oriented International Holdings had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of CN¥27m would seem to be a step in the right direction.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of China Oriented International Holdings.

Our Take On China Oriented International Holdings' Profit Performance

As we discussed above, China Oriented International Holdings' accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Because of this, we think China Oriented International Holdings' underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing China Oriented International Holdings at this point in time. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for China Oriented International Holdings (1 is concerning) you should be familiar with.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of China Oriented International Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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