Stock Analysis

Do These 3 Checks Before Buying Honma Golf Limited (HKG:6858) For Its Upcoming Dividend

SEHK:6858
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Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that Honma Golf Limited (HKG:6858) is about to go ex-dividend in just three days. Ex-dividend means that investors that purchase the stock on or after the 10th of December will not receive this dividend, which will be paid on the 28th of December.

Honma Golf's next dividend payment will be JP¥1.50 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed JP¥3.00 to shareholders. Calculating the last year's worth of payments shows that Honma Golf has a trailing yield of 5.0% on the current share price of HK$4.5. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. As a result, readers should always check whether Honma Golf has been able to grow its dividends, or if the dividend might be cut.

See our latest analysis for Honma Golf

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Honma Golf reported a loss after tax last year, which means it's paying a dividend despite being unprofitable. While this might be a one-off event, this is unlikely to be sustainable in the long term. Given that the company reported a loss last year, we now need to see if it generated enough free cash flow to fund the dividend. If Honma Golf didn't generate enough cash to pay the dividend, then it must have either paid from cash in the bank or by borrowing money, neither of which is sustainable in the long term. Over the past year it paid out 143% of its free cash flow as dividends, which is uncomfortably high. We're curious about why the company paid out more cash than it generated last year, since this can be one of the early signs that a dividend may be unsustainable.

Click here to see how much of its profit Honma Golf paid out over the last 12 months.

historic-dividend
SEHK:6858 Historic Dividend December 6th 2020

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. Honma Golf reported a loss last year, and the general trend suggests its earnings have also been declining in recent years, making us wonder if the dividend is at risk.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. It looks like the Honma Golf dividends are largely the same as they were three years ago. If a company's dividend stays flat while earnings are in decline, this is typically a sign that it is paying out a larger percentage of its earnings. This can become unsustainable if earnings fall far enough.

We update our analysis on Honma Golf every 24 hours, so you can always get the latest insights on its financial health, here.

The Bottom Line

Should investors buy Honma Golf for the upcoming dividend? We're a bit uncomfortable with it paying a dividend while being loss-making, especially given that the dividend was not well covered by free cash flow. It's not that we think Honma Golf is a bad company, but these characteristics don't generally lead to outstanding dividend performance.

Although, if you're still interested in Honma Golf and want to know more, you'll find it very useful to know what risks this stock faces. To help with this, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Honma Golf that you should be aware of before investing in their shares.

We wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see, though. Here's a list of interesting dividend stocks with a greater than 2% yield and an upcoming dividend.

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About SEHK:6858

Honma Golf

An investment holding company, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells a range of golf club equipment in Japan, Korea, Hong Kong, Macau, rest of China, North America, Europe, and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet and slightly overvalued.