Stock Analysis

Health Check: How Prudently Does Riverine China Holdings (HKG:1417) Use Debt?

SEHK:1417
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Riverine China Holdings Limited (HKG:1417) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Riverine China Holdings

What Is Riverine China Holdings's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2023 Riverine China Holdings had CN¥199.8m of debt, an increase on CN¥158.8m, over one year. However, it also had CN¥150.3m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥49.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1417 Debt to Equity History June 19th 2024

A Look At Riverine China Holdings' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Riverine China Holdings had liabilities of CN¥482.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥169.4m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥150.3m and CN¥267.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥234.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥116.7m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Riverine China Holdings would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Riverine China Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Riverine China Holdings saw its revenue hold pretty steady, and it did not report positive earnings before interest and tax. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Riverine China Holdings produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CN¥73m. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it burned through CN¥32m in negative free cash flow over the last year. That means it's on the risky side of things. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Riverine China Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.