Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group Company Limited

SHSC:564 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$24.4b

Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group Valuation

Is 564 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 564 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 564 (HK$9.91) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$28.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 564 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 564?

Key metric: As 564 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 564. This is calculated by dividing 564's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 564's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.1x
EarningsCN¥3.87b
Market CapCN¥22.73b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 564's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 564 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.8x
317 CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering (Group)
71.2xn/aHK$30.2b
631 Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings
9.2x25.8%HK$15.3b
3898 Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric
10.4x13.3%HK$62.0b
3808 Sinotruk (Hong Kong)
8.4x12.2%HK$55.1b
564 Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group
6.1x11.6%HK$22.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 564 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.1x) compared to the peer average (24.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 564's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Machinery Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
2060 Pujiang International Group
1xn/aUS$19.99m
No more companies available in this PE range
564 6.1xIndustry Avg. 7.4xNo. of Companies10PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 564 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.1x) compared to the Hong Kong Machinery industry average (7.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 564's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

564 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.1x
Fair PE Ratio7.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 564 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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